Four Days to Go: How Choiseul/Saltibus Is Shaping Up Ahead of December 1st

With just four days before Saint Lucia goes to the polls, the Choiseul/Saltibus race is shaping up to be one of the most unpredictable and electrifying contests of the 2025 general election. Both candidates—Keithson “Kiffo” Charles (SLP) and Bradley “Flex” Felix (UWP)—are digging in for a final push, and based on what we’re observing on the ground, this race could go right down to the wire.

This is not a prediction—that comes on November 30th—but an honest, balanced look at where things seem to be heading as of now.

Delcer (I1): Flex Territory… but Some Noise Around the Edges

Delcer continues to stand firm behind Flex. He has deep roots there, and the numbers traditionally start in his favour.
Yes, whispers are circulating that Kiffo is “making moves” in the area, but many residents believe the few new faces showing him love might be non-voters simply playing along.
Delcer remains UWP’s safest box.

Mongouge (I2): A Clear Kiffo Win—But Not the Landslide It Could Have Been

Mongouge is undeniably leaning red this cycle.
Kiffo is expected to take this box comfortably, but the momentum isn’t at the level it could have been.
Why?
Some residents quietly resent the lack of support Kiffo’s family gave to a former UWP hopeful from the area. That issue—small to some, big to others—has cooled what could have been a roaring Mongouge wave.
Still, Mongouge belongs to Kiffo.

La Fargue (I3): A Swing Box Edging SLP

La Fargue is once again the heart of the fight.
Right now, it appears to be leaning toward Kiffo, with signs that he may surpass Pauline’s 2021 performance.
One reason? Cedars—that tight-knit enclave seems ready to throw stronger support behind the SLP this time around, shifting the balance.

Dacretin (I4): A Tug-of-War With No Clear Winner

Dacretin looks like a battlefield—plain and simple.
Two highly influential community figures, one on each side, are working overtime to secure their candidate’s victory.
At this stage:
It could go either way.

Roblot (I5) & Piaye (I9): The Multipurpose Center Factor

These two polling divisions appear to be leaning toward Flex—and not because of party loyalty alone.
Residents are still upset that their multipurpose centers have remained closed for over two years.
That frustration is real, and it’s translating into votes.
Unless something dramatic happens, both boxes favour Flex as a form of punishment for what many view as neglect.

Jetrine (I7A–I7B): Kiffo Stronghold

There’s no debate here—Jetrine is overwhelmingly behind Kiffo.
His support there is deep and dependable.

Dugard (I6): A Kiffo Blowout

Dugard is lining up behind Kiffo in a big way.
This is expected to be another one of his strong boxes district-wide.

Saltibus (I8): The Wild Card of the Valley

Saltibus is the box to watch.
Rumors indicate Flex may see increased support, mainly because many relatives of former candidate Pauline—who had leaned SLP last time—may return home to UWP in this election.
If this shift holds, Saltibus becomes the game-changer.

So Where Does This Leave Us?

The race is tight—tighter than many expected.
Both candidates have strengths. Both have weaknesses. And both have pockets of passionate supporters.

If Flex wins big in Saltibus and Delcer, he could walk away with the seat.

If Kiffo energizes Mongouge and secures La Fargue convincingly, he could claim victory.

At this point, the election in Choiseul/Saltibus will not be decided by emotion or noise—it will be decided by turnout, ground strategy, and whether each candidate can protect their strongholds while chipping into the opponent’s territory.

This is simply our analysis—not gospel, not prophecy.
But one thing is certain:
Choiseul/Saltibus is heading into a nail-biting finish.

Stay tuned for our Final Predictions Post on November 30.